Have the Golden Globes named the 2021 Oscars favorites?

The ceremony which took place on Sunday evening seems to have drawn the winners of the next Oscars. We try our hand at anticipated predictions.

It is customary to say that Golden globes are the antechamber of Oscars. Admittedly, this year, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association faces the scandal and does not have good press on the other side of the Atlantic. Nevertheless, the prize list made on Sunday evening could well have the air of a family photo of April 25.

It is on this date that the Academy Awards will be awarded (with a few weeks behind the usual schedule, pandemic obliges). And faced with the small quantity of films eligible for the competition (pandemic obliges bis), it is a safe bet that the list of Oscars 2021 will look like that of these Golden Globes. So while waiting for the official list of nominations – expected this March 15 – we indulge in the game of predictions.

BEST FILM

Nomadland

90% chance

The feature does not stop taking everything. There is not really a masterpiece that stands out this year and everything that represents the beautiful road trip of Chloé Zhao, in an America more tense than ever, seems sufficiently unifying that most of the votes go. on him. And then we see badly Borat 2, crowned Best Comedy at the Golden Globes, winning the statuette for Best Film at the next Oscars …

Frances McDormand and Chloé Zhao on the set of Nomadland / Searchlight Pictures

BEST DIRECTOR

Chloé Zhao for Nomadland

98% chance

She broke the record for personal trophies won during awards season in recent weeks. A “run” concludes in apotheosis Sunday evening at the Golden Globes. So the Chinese-American is ultra-favorite. Regina King, very popular within the Academy (with her first film One Night in Miami) seems today the only one to be able to appear as a serious competitor. David Fincher (Mank) starts from afar. Rest Sam Levinson (Malcolm and Marie), yet deserving, who was not nominated for the Golden Globes.

BEST SCENARIO

Aaron Sorkin for Chicago Seven

80% chance

Yes Chicago Seven is likely to be nominated in many categories at the Oscars, as was the case at the Golden Globes, it is hard to imagine him claiming a raid. In contrast, the genius of writing that is Sorkin could once again be honored by his peers, as was the case on Sunday evening. Emerald Fennell and his lunatic Promising Young Woman still form credible outsiders for the statuette.

BEST ACTOR

Chadwick Boseman for Ma Rainey’s Blues

95% chance

It is hard to see the Academy resisting the temptation to honor one last time the iconic actor of Black panther – as was the case at the Golden Globes – by offering him a posthumous Oscar that seems almost played in advance. Because the two main competitors will be named Anthony Hopkins (for The Father), who has already had his lion’s share and Gary Oldman (for Mank), star of a film which has only moderately convinced. And Sacha Baron Cohen (crowned Best actor in a comedy, for Borat 2, Sunday evening) will already be happy if he is appointed.

Chadwick Boseman in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (Netflix)
Netflix

BEST ACTRESS

Andra Day in Billie Holiday, a matter of state

30% chance

His victory on Sunday night was a surprise. Will she be able to repeat the feat at the Oscars? Nothing is less certain because, in this category, the competition promises to be tough. Beyond Rosamund Pike, crowned Golden Globes among comedies for I care a lot, who could be in the race, we do especially Carey Mulligan, perfect in Promising Young Woman, the favorite for the statuette. Variety too. The American benchmark title even places the regular Frances mcdormand in second position (for Nomadland) and don’t forget Vanessa Kirby’s excellent performance in Pieces of a Woman.

BEST MALE SECOND ROLE

Daniel Kaluuya in Judas and the Black Messiah

40% chance

The actor of Get out, honored Sunday night, is not at all certain to win the Oscar in April. Nobody comes away from a tight competition where Sacha Baron Cohen, for his performance in Chicago Seven, rather acts as a favorite. A victory that could crown his rich career and make up for the fact that the Academy will probably snub Borat 2. And Leslie Odom, Jr., for One Night in Miami, seems in ambush.

Tahar Rahim and Jodie Foster in Named Guilty
Metropolitan Film Export

BEST SECOND WOMEN’S ROLE

Jodie Foster in Designated guilty

50% chance

The actress with 50 years of career managed to double all her rivals on the wire, Sunday evening, a little to everyone’s surprise. Glenn Close, dressed like never in An American odewas more of a favorite, even though the Ron Howard film was shot down by the press. Amanda Seyfried in Mank also has its chance, as does the much appreciated Olivia Colman (for The Father), in search of a new statuette.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Minari by Lee Isaac Chung

0% chance

While it won the Golden Globe on Sunday night, the feature film by Korean-American director Lee Isaac Chung, shot in English and Korean, is not on the list of the 15 shortlisted for the Oscars. It will be competing with US films. Suddenly, the competition seems very open for the statuette. Danish Drunk is a favorite, but the French Of them, will also have a chance, if we believe the american press.

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Have the Golden Globes named the 2021 Oscars favorites?

Hank Gilbert